Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.183624 0.198511 0.214253 0.232178 0.252067 0.273511 0.298450
2026-01-04 0.159734 0.181351 0.205700 0.235330 0.270650 0.311697 0.363443
2026-01-11 0.143265 0.168343 0.197883 0.235618 0.283074 0.341500 0.420023
2026-01-18 0.128926 0.155450 0.187773 0.230637 0.286863 0.359374 0.462105
2026-01-25 0.116899 0.143887 0.177690 0.223907 0.286693 0.370903 0.495775
2026-02-01 0.108043 0.135401 0.170498 0.219807 0.288938 0.385043 0.533735
2026-02-08 0.100178 0.127494 0.163271 0.214738 0.288929 0.395429 0.566691
2026-02-15 0.093906 0.121201 0.157631 0.211197 0.290443 0.407699 0.603382
2026-02-22 0.090465 0.118456 0.156552 0.213860 0.300992 0.434159 0.665526
2026-03-01 0.086166 0.114216 0.153032 0.212578 0.305289 0.451072 0.713630
2026-03-08 0.081829 0.109644 0.148710 0.209697 0.306708 0.463265 0.754767
2026-03-15 0.077317 0.104568 0.143332 0.204775 0.304369 0.468830 0.784335
2026-03-22 0.075625 0.103566 0.144001 0.209434 0.318263 0.503796 0.875000
2026-03-29 0.073452 0.101748 0.143349 0.211974 0.328902 0.534355 0.962420
2026-04-05 0.070875 0.099177 0.141376 0.212191 0.335508 0.558250 1.040126
2026-04-12 0.067423 0.095102 0.136833 0.207828 0.333639 0.566028 1.084569
2026-04-19 0.063881 0.090726 0.131589 0.201934 0.328508 0.566950 1.113844
2026-04-26 0.061100 0.087403 0.127844 0.198340 0.327256 0.575284 1.161390
2026-05-03 0.058327 0.083972 0.123758 0.193894 0.324043 0.579294 1.199280
2026-05-10 0.056013 0.081168 0.120553 0.190786 0.323097 0.587817 1.249660
2026-05-17 0.054939 0.080284 0.120438 0.193123 0.332784 0.619668 1.365226
2026-05-24 0.053254 0.078346 0.118476 0.191997 0.335545 0.636836 1.445397
2026-05-31 0.051404 0.076065 0.115835 0.189468 0.335275 0.647221 1.508913